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MMA

UFC 105: Undercard Predictions

Andre Winner v. Rolando Delgado

Wasn’t Delgado going by Roli until like three days ago? If you don’t remember him, he was the guy on the Mir v. Nog season of The Ultimate Fighter whom was constantly questioned about his BJJ black belt. He’s 1-1 since joining the UFC and seems to be one of these guys who they like putting on cards overseas. His last fight was a loss to Paul Kelly in Germany. He features great BJJ, and improving standup. My biggest question about him is his strength and chin, as he has a really slight frame.

Winner was the runner up of the US v. UK TUF season. He’s 0-1 in the UFC, as he lost to Ross Pearson at the Finale. I’m curious to see more of winner. His record indicates a strong submission background, as he’s got three submission victories. My only concern about him is a lack of ability to finish, as he has a ton of decision victories.

While Delgado is a nice fighter, I think Winner has a better all-around game, and more potential.

Prediction: Winner via Decision

Alexander Gustaffson v. Jared Hamman

Gustaffson is making his UFC debut out of Stockholm, Sweeden. He is a wrestler/boxer with an 8-0 record. Six of those wins have come by knockout, indicating that he has some pretty sick power. Besides, that I have to admit that I don’t know much about the Sweedish MMA scene, and none of his opponents are exactly names.

Hamman is also making his UFC debut but is American. His best win was a KO victory over Travis Wiuff in 2007. He’s a Strikeforce veteran, meaning he has a bunch more “big fight” experience than the swede. He’s 10-1, and avenged his only loss to Poai Suganuma. The first fight ended with Hamman being knocked out with a flying knee, in the second fight, he knocked Suganuma out with punches.

When in doubt, take the veteran.

Prediction: Hamman via TKO

Paul Kelly v. Dennis Siver

What’s an England card without Paul Kelly? The British brawler is 3-1 in the UFC with his only loss is against Marcus Davis, and it’s never a bad thing to lose to The Irish Hand Grenade. Kelly wants to keep every fight on the feet, but has been grinding out some decisions. He’s the hometown favorite, that’s for sure.

His opponent is Dennis Siver, who is 3-3 in the UFC, and another European staple for the company. He’s famous for his spinning back kick KO of Nate Mohr at UFC 93. He’s 2-0 his coming back from the nether regions of the MMA universe. He’s got a pretty good ground game to go with top notch kickboxing.

I’ll take the German to upset the British favorite.

Prediction: Siver via submission

Nick Osipczak v. Matt Riddle

Osipczak is another fighter off the TUF 9 cast. He beat American Frank Lester at the finale, and likely earned himself another fight with the victory. He’ll be the hometown favorite against the American as usual. He’s a practicioner of Shaolin-Kung Fu. Let’s make something clear: He’s not GSP, who has combined his Karate with other skills to make himself a more dangerous fighter. He’s just a Shaolin kung-fu guy. Not good.

Riddle on the other hand has as much potential as any fighter in the UFC. He debuted as the guy who lost to Tim Credeur on TUF 8 with terrible coach Rampage Jackson. Riddle got on the show by breaking the jaw of Serra Fight Team fighter Dan Simmler, but lost his first fight. He was 21 at the time.

Since then, Riddle has become a scalding hot prospect. He has great wrestling, and th ekind of knockout power that few people posses. IF he reaches his ceiling, He could easily follow the Dan Henderson archetype to success. Riddle is looking to make it four in a row in Britain, and I think that he will.

Prediction: Riddle via KO

Terry Etim v. Shannon Gugerty

Etim is 4-2 in the UFC, with wins over Sam Stout and Justin Buchholz on his record. Etim is another British favorite. He’s got an all-around game including some pretty good Muay Thai, and a really ground game. He has nine submission victories to his credit, and two submission of the night awards as well.

Gugerty is 2-1 in the UFC against some pretty mediocre competition. His best win is against Spencer Fisher, who’s ground game looks like a fish out of water. He has a great submission background as well, with eight of his 12 career victories coming by submission.

If the ground games cancel each other out, I like Etim’s muay thai to win the standup war.

Prediction: Etim via TKO

Paul Taylor v. John Hathaway

Taylor is 3-3 in the UFC and is most noted for his war with Paul Kelly at UFC 80. He has three fight of the night awards under his belt, and even if he doesn’t win, he’ll have a place in the UFC because he garners exciting fights with an aggressive style. While he has some submission wins, he most known for his standup ability with five career KO victories.

Hathaway is also British, making this the only fight on the card that features Brit on Brit violence. Hathaway is 2-0 in the UFC, with two european victories to his credit. Also a standup fighter, expect a ton of action in this fight, and eitheir fighter could score a clean shot and a KO.

Prediction: Hathaway via TKO

MMA

UFC 103 Predictions: The Undercard!

Rob Emerson v. Rafael Dos Anjos

Why is Rob Emerson still employed? He’s 2-1 in the UFC with one no contest when Gray Maynard slammed him so hard that it knocked both Gray and Rob out. His wins have come over Manny Gamburyan and Keita Nakamura, and then he lost to his one real test against Kurt Pellegrino. His skill set is not one that screams potential former champion. So, why did the UFC decide to keep him when they started jettisoning talent?

His opponent is no better. Dos Anjos is 0-2 in the UFC with his losses coming to Jeremy Stephens and Tyson Griffin.

In this fight, expect Emerson to try and stand and Dos Anjos to try to go to the ground like any good Gracie-trained fighter would do. I just can’t see Emerson winning due to lack of takedown defense.

Prediction: Dos Anjos via submission

Vladimir Matyushenko v. Igor Pokrajac

Yes! The battle of guys names that you can’t pronounce.

Matyushenko has an awesome nickname. He’s the Janitor. He’s making his UFC return but has big fight experience. His last UFC fight was UFC 44 which was loss to an up and coming fighter by the name of Andrei Arlovski. He’s primarily a wrestler, but has a remarkable seven wins via KO, seven wins via submission and seven wins via decision. Talk about well rounded.

Pokrajac is not only making his UFC debut, but also his American debut. He’s 21-5, but has faced any real competition whatsoever. He also is a wrestler but has a BJJ background.

I see this fight being really boring. Eithier way, it’s going to a decision.

Matuyshenko via Unanimous Decision

Eliot Marshall v. Jason Brilz

Marshall is a former TUF alumni who specializes in BJJ. He’s 2-0 since the show with wins over castmate Jules Bruchez, and Vinny Magalhães. He has a ton of potential, but needs to improve his standup. He’s got an awesome nickname as well. He’s the “Fire”.

Brilz is also 2-0 in the UFC with wins of Brad Morris, and Tim Botesch. Brilz is a collegiate wrestler who will look to take Marshall down and attempt to ground and pound him. However, he might not have the submission defense to survive in Marshall’s guard.

Prediction: Marshall via Submission

Rick Story v. Brian Foster

Story is 0-1 in the UFC, losing to John Hathaway at UFC 99. He’s stepping into the spot that was vacated by Paul Daley so Daley could fight Martin Kampmann. Story’s biggest win was over the man that lost to Carlos Condit on Wednesday night, Jake Ellenberger. He is a collegiate wrestler, so expect ground and pound.

Foster is making his UFC debut and is 12-3 in his MMA career. He doesn’t have any signature wins on his record. He trains with Matt Hughes at HIT Squad. Expect very good wrestling from him as well, meaning this fight will be a boxing match. The deciding factor here is the UFC jitters.

Prediction: Story via Split Decision

Rafaello Oliveira v. Nik Lentz

Oliveira is taking the place of an injured Dan Miller for this fight. He’s 9-1, but that includes two wins over a guy named Wigman Big Big. I kid you not. He’s also making UFC debut. Shockingly, he is a Brazilian with a BJJ background.

Nik Lentz is a little more decorated what Oliveira but is also making his UFC debut. His signature win is over Drew Fickett. He trains at Minnesota Mixed Martial Arts academy with guys like Sean Sherk, Brock Larson and Brock Lesnar. That’s really a pretty good camp that not a lot of people talk about. This fight is going to be about Lentz staying out of submission.

Prediction: Lentz via Unanimous Decision

Jim Miller v. Steve Lopez

This isn’t even going to be a fight. Miller is going to repeatedly take Lopez down and either submit him or just pound him out.

Prediction: Miller via TKO

Drew McFedries v. Tomasz Drwal

We all know the book on McFedries. He possesses the kind of power found only in moving trains. His punch is just so strong that his wins all come by Knockouts of the highlight variety. His last win was over Xavier Foupa-Pokam, who categorically sucks.

Drwal is 2-1 in the UFC with wins over Ivan Serati and Mike Ciesnolevicz . His one loss came to former number one contender Thales Leites. Like McFedries, he loves to stand and bang, so expect this one to be a war and maybe end pretty quickly.

Prediction: Drwal via KO

Efrain Escudero v. Cole Miller

Escudero is the winner of TUF 8 and is making his debut since his win over Phillipe Nover at the finale. He’s a college wrestler with a diverse submission game and decent standup. He also has a great camp to train with in Arizona Comabt Sports.

His opponent is no pushover though, as Miller has some UFC experience. An American Top Team product, Miller is 4-1 in the UFC with wins over Junie Browning, Jorge Gurgel, Leonard Garica and the only man ever to get kicked off his TUF team Andy Wang. He’ll probably have the advantage on the ground, but does struggle when standing.

Escudero is a strong prospect, and will likely outclass Miller both standing and by using his top game.

Prediction: Escudero via Unanimous Decision

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