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MMA

Strikeforce Challengers: Thought and Observations

Yancy Medeiros defeated Raul Castillo via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

This is a tough fight to get excited about. It’s not that Medeiros did anything wrong, or didn’t impress. It’s that we saw him outstrike a grappler who clearly is not comfortable on his feet whatsoever. However, let’s choose to be positive. He defeated an American Kickboxing Academy member by using effective, if not dominant striking and showed some really nice takedown defense. The only offense that Castillo put together came after a low blow. That should say something.

Saffiedine defeated Terry via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

I’ll say it again: Training with Cung Le might be a mistake. I keep saying that Anthony Johnson needs to get with a real camp if he wants to be a legit contender, and we saw again here that Terry was simply overmatched. Terry has a great highlight reel TKO with a head kick, but against a tougher opponent in Saffiedine, he was peppered with shots throughout and couldn’t get a takedown. Saffiedine looked good, and I like the combination of all the different arts he combined in his attack.

Luke Rockhold defeated Paul Bradley via TKO (Knees to the Body) at 2:24 of round 1.

Rockhold was absolutely dominant. He was winning the standup battle many times over and did it by using impressive counters. The finishing sequence was impressive as he threw a couple of really nice knees against the cage to drop Bradley. Combine this win with some of Luke’s submission wins, and suddenly this is a guy that we really need to start looking at.

Trevor Prangley vs. Karl Amoussou ends by Technical Draw due to accidental eye poke from Prangley at 4:14 of round 1

Everyone is going to get on the referee for this, but it isn’t really his fault. He was a slave to a dumb rule. When someone gets poked in the eye like that, why should they not be allowed five minutes to recover? Is it any different then getting hit with a low blow? After a few minutes, unless you really got gouged, your eye starts to open and you can go on fighting. That was a good fight for four minutes, and it’s a shame that it was stopped because of a stupid rule like that.

Sarah Kaufman defeated Takayo Hashi via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

Kaufman was just too strong for Hashi. The reality is that 135 is not a very deep division in women’s MMA. Hashi is a 125 fighter who was fighting up in order to give Kaufman an opponent. Kaufman boxed well throughout the fight, but Hashi simply could not keep up with the Canadian fighter. The problem is going to be finding an opponent for Kaufman. Even Jordan Breen might have to dig deep into the bag of tricks to find one.

MMA

UFC 110 Main Card Predictions!

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (32-5-1; #3 Heavyweight) vs. Cain Velasquez (7-0; #6 Heavyweight)

The Fighters: Nogueira is one of the few PRIDE vets who was able to successfully transition to the UFC. He won his first two UFC fights, including a win over Tim Sylvia for the UFC title. Since he’s gone 1-1 losing to Frank Mir and beating Randy Couture.

In his UFC stint ‘Nog has been oft-injured. More particularly he’s battled staph infections during his entire UFC tenure. ‘Nog is never one to make excuses but, after the Mir loss it was revealed that he had spent a ton of time in the hospital battling a bad staph infection. It’s hard to argue that the staph didn’t affect his performance in that fight. Not only was he finished for the first time in his illustrious career but he looked old and more then a step slow. Many, myself included, wondered if wear and tear had finally caught up to ‘Nog. However, in his win against Couture he proved that he still has a ton left in the tank. His boxing was as crisp as ever and he showcased his world class ground skills.

Cain Velasquez may be the fastest rising heavyweight prospect the sport has ever seen. He’s 5-0 in the UFC, but more importantly he’s looked better every fight. He proved against Cheick Kongo that he could win a three round war as well as take a punch. As Jordan Breen would say “the man has a great beard.” Ben Rothwell was suppose to be another step up in competition for Velasquez. However, Velasquez took the much bigger and experienced Rothwell down at will and made him look like an amateur. Every test that has been presented to Velasquez he has passed with flying colors.

Breakdown: Odds makers have this fight as a Pick ‘Em and it’s hard to disagree. ‘Nog has great boxing and will have a significant advantage when the fight is standing but, as we saw in the Kongo fight Velasquez isn’t easy to drop. Velasquez will want to shoot early and often and should have no problem getting ‘Nog to the ground. The key question is; will Velasquez be able to control the action on the ground? Velasquez is relentless and can push the pace like no other heavyweight in the UFC can but he’s also never fought a fighter of ‘Nog’s caliber on the ground. ‘Nog has a knack for taking a pounding, but still finding the perfect opportunity to sweep or submit. Even when it looks like he’s on the brink of defeat he’s not, just ask Bob Sapp.

Velasquez is so hyper active on the ground it could end up being reckless. Look for a classic ‘Nog performance as he catches the wrestler off guard with a sweep followed by a textbook submission.

Prediction: Nogueira via Arm-Bar Round 3

Wanderlei Silva (32-10-1) vs. Michael Bisping (18-2)

The Fighters:  Annnnnd cue “Sandstorm!”

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Ok, you can put the glow sticks away now.

Unlike his PRIDE counterpart, Nogueira, Silva did not find immediate success upon entering the UFC.  In fact The Axe Murderer is only 1-3 in the UFC (though you can make a sound argument that he beat Rich Franklin.)  His UFC run has certainly been a disappointment but there’s a lot of reasons to think that he can still turn his career around.  Silva is making his debut at middleweight, dropping from light heavyweight. Silva was always on the small side for a 205 pounder and has said he feels much quicker since dropping the weight.  Silva also underwent facial surgery.  He got his mangled nose repaired and a ton of scar tissue removed.  While the gains of such surgery appear superficial on the surface they are not.  The scar tissue left Silva’s face much more susceptible to cuts, also Silva said the surgery on his nose has helped his breathing tremendously.

Silva certainly earned the nickname The Axe Murderer.  His style is to come straight at you at overwhelm you with strikes and knees from the clinch.  The underrated aspects of Silvas game are his wresting, more then adequate, and his jiu-jitsu.  He never uses either offensively but he’s shown skill in both areas when he’s been forced to.

Bisping is the brash winner of The Ultimate Fighter. I’ve long considered Bisping an overrated fighter whose record was inflated by fighting low level talent. After his decisive loss to Dan Handerson I found myself vindicated. However, in his win over Dennis Kang, Bisping proved the doubters wrong and showed he still has a lot of talent. What impressed me most about Bisping in the Kang fight was his jiu-jitsu. Kang has a tight ground game and Bisping did a great job using his hips to keep Kang off balance. In the later rounds he showed improved wrestling as he dropped Kang with ease.

With an 8-2 UFC record a win over Silva would put Bisping in or around the top 10 and potentially only one or two fights away from a title shot.

Breakdown: Bisping in a lot of ways is similar to Forrest Griffin. He’s tough and he’s well rounded but he doesn’t have one particular skill that’s exceptional, and at the end of the day that can only get you so far. Bisping should look to keep Silva at a distance with his jab and leg kicks, Silva on the other is going to try to showcase his trademark combination of explosiveness and violence and bum rush Bisping with strikes.

Bisping will find himself overwhelmed in the striking game just like he did against Dan Henderson, who really is just a one trick pony. Bisping could work for take-downs but Rich Franklin struggled to take Silva down and Silva’s take down defense should only be better at a lighter weight class.

Prediction: Silva via TKO Round 2

Joe Stevenson (31-10) vs. George Sotiropoulos (11-2)

The Fighters: The hometown hero Sotiropoulos, is a very well rounded fighter. He’s a BJJ Black Belt but he also has an amateur boxing background, in fact in 2004 he won a Victoran State Amateur boxing tournament. Sotiropoulos is 11-2 overall and 4-0 in the UFC. His only two losses are a DQ loss to Shinya Aoki and a split decision loss very early in his career. Sotiropoulos competed on the Ultimate Fighter and made it to the semi-finals before losing in controversial fashion. Sotiropoulos has never been finished in his professional career. As a former welterweight Sotiropoulos is a very large lightweight and is a handful to try to take down. Sotiropoulos is similar stylistically to Paulo Filho. He’s incredibly methodical as he tightly transitions from position to position.

To say Stevenson is veteran would be an understatement. Stevenson fought Jens Pulver when he was only 17 years old! Stevenson is only 27 years old but already has 41 pro bouts on his record. Like Sotiropoulos, Stevenson moved from welterweight to lightweight. Stevenson won his first four fights as a lightweight before getting a shot at the UFC title against B.J Penn. Since losing to Penn it’s been a mixed bag for Stevenson. He looked good against Diaz and Fisher but not so good against Florian and Sanchez.

Stevenson recently teamed up with Greg Jackson and it’s done wonders for his career. Stevenson has gone back to his roots, his wrestling and top game, and is riding a two fight win streak.

Breakdown: Much like ‘Nog vs. Velasquez the question in this fight is; what happens when Stevenson gets Sotiropoulos down. Sotiropoulos has the skills to sweep or submit Joe Daddy. However, what I see being the underrated aspect of this fight is Sotiropoulos boxing. He hasn’t showcased it a ton in his UFC career but you can tell he has actual boxing technique, something we don’t get to see in the UFC often. Joe Daddy might be able to take Sotiropoulos down but I don’t think he’ll be able to keep him down.

Prediction: Sotiropoulos Via Split Decision

Keith Jardine (15-6-1) vs. Ryan Bader (10-0)

The Fighters: Expect the word “unorthodox” to be used to describe Keith Jardine roughly 8,000 times this fight. The former Ultimate Fighter contestant began his career at heavyweight before settling in at 205. Jardine is 6-5 in the UFC but has faced top competition for most of the past three years. Jardine holds wins over contenders Brandon Vera, Forrest Griffin and Chuck Liddell. Jardine is well rounded, trains at a great camp (Greg Jackson) and has a unorthodox (Ding!) striking style that keeps opponents off guard. He likes to use his leg kicks, some of the best in the sport, and his jab to keep distance from opponents.

Ryan “Darth” Bader won his season of The Ultimate Fighter. When watching him on TUF you got the sense that not only did he have the raw skills to be a TUF champ but a UFC champ one day. A two time All-American wrestler at Arizona State University and a three-time PAC 10 Champion, Baders 120 wins ranks him 8th on the all-time wins list for ASU. Bader was college teammates with current UFC competitors Cain Velasquez and C.B. Dollaway. Bader is 3-0 in the UFC.

Breakdown: Where Bader struggles is on his feet. He has tremendous power but his striking arsenal is limited to a single Dan Henderson style overhand right. The UFC has protected him in the stand up game by feeding him grapplers and weaker wrestlers early in his career (Magalhaes, Marerro, Schafer.) That’s why Jardine is a bigger test then people realize. How’s Bader going to react to leg kicks? Will he check them properly or are we heading for Robbie Lawler territory (if you underestimate the importance of leg kicks look no further then Griffin/Rampage where Forrest essentially won a title because of them.) How will Bader react if he gets tagged? These things are unknowns with Bader. As for Jardine we’ve seen that he’s most vulnerable when facing a striker with K.O power. Of his five losses three came within the first minutes of the fight (W. Silva, T. Silva, Alexander.) Where Jardine excels is when he’s forced to wrestle and scramble.

Bader is a great wrestler and should be able to take Jardine down at will but even Rampage Jackson had trouble holding Jardine down for three rounds.

Prediction: Jardine via TKO Round 3

Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic (25-7-2) vs. Ben Rothwell (30-7)

The Fighters: Wild Boys…Wild Boys….Wild Boys!

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It’s been a quick and sudden fall for Cro-Cop who was once unanimously considered the third best heavyweight in the world. The one time PRIDE star has found almost no success in the Octagon. He’s 2-3 in the cage but his wins have been over meek competition (Eddie Sanchez and Mastapha-Al-Turk.) I’ve written about Mirko’s struggles at length. Mirko would blame his struggles on the lack of a proper training regimen and a mental block in the Octagon, I would simply blame them on age. PRIDE fighters tend to age in dog years and all those years of tournament fighting seem to have caught up to him.

Ben Rothwell came into the UFC with a fair amount of hype. The 28 year old was considered a borderline top 10 heavyweight and he racked up an impressive record fighting in the now defunct IFL. Somehow the UFC had always eluded him. Rothwell’s UFC debut didn’t go as planned as he was manhandled by Cain Velasquez.

Breakdown: Cro-Cop is on the small side for a heavyweight and relies on his kickboxing. In fact, Cro-Cop has basically made a career off of jab-head kick. Rothwell is a monster of a man, tipping the scales at 260 plus. Rothwell also relies on his kick boxing but he doesn’t have the same technical acumen as Cro-Cop. Rothwell is a mauler and brawler, not a counter puncher. That fact should bode well for Mirko.

Prediction: Cro Cop via KO, Head Kick, Round 1

…Hey we all can dream.

    For More UFC 110 Coverage:

UFC 110 Undercard Predictions

UFC 110 Walkout Shirts from the 3rd String Store!

MMA

The Importance of A Good Cornerman…

I am still amazed by how many people think that strategy is a big part of mixed martial arts. How much money does Greg Jackson have to make before people realize that having a good corner is just important as being well prepared for your fight.

Just ask Mark Coleman. Coleman brought former Randy Couture confidant Shawn Tompkins to the cage with him, and Tompkins gave him some TERRRIBLE advice. Here’s what Josh Gross of SI.com had to say about it:

“Coleman made Couture’s night easy when, at the advice of his trainer Shawn Tompkins and the despite the fact it has never been his path to victory, he chose to stand and trade.”

“…Shortly into the bout, Coleman carried the attitude of a confused athlete, one who was thinking instead of fighting.”

“Between the first and second round, Coleman looked up at Tompkins as the Canadian offered instructions on how to keep distance and how to fire off combination. I’m fairly certain he would have loved if Tompkins told him to run out there and take a shot on a double-leg. If you’re going to go out, go out at what you do best.”

Who besides Tompkins could possibly believe that Coleman had any chance standing and trading with Couture? Over the last few years, Couture has drilled his boxing to the point where it is on par with his wrestling. He has some of the best head movement in the game. As supposed to Coleman, who had no head movement.

What a joke.

MMA

UFC 109: Main Card Predictions!

-Randy Couture (17-10) vs. Mark Coleman (16-9)

The Fighters: The back-story of this fight has been beaten to death so I’ll give a quick version. These two were suppose to meet at UFC 17, sometime in the Middle Ages I think. Couture basically wrote the book on how to use dirty boxing and the Greco-Roman clinch in MMA and Coleman is the Godfather of modern day Ground-and-Pound. However, both are in their senior years and Don Fryes description of the fight as “grizzly bear sex” might not be that far off.

Breakdown: Can either of these fighters take the other one down? That might be the great question in this fight as neither of these fighters have had to fight on their back a ton during their career. Couture should have a significant advantage if the fight stays on it’s feet. His boxing has evolved a ton as we saw in the Tim Slyvia fight while Coleman still boxes like it’s 1996.

When this fight was booked I never really saw the appeal. I didn’t know beating Stephan Bonnar, on the under-card, got you into a main event these days. Let’s face the facts Coleman is a hall of famer and pioneer in the sport but he hasn’t had a significant win this decade. As for Couture he looked great in his heavyweight comeback against Slyvia and Gonzaga. And to this day he gave Lesnar the toughest run his for his money (besides obviously win.) But those fights were two years ago already. He looked a step slow against ‘Nog and lackluster against Vera. It’s impossible to count the man out but time seems to have caught up to Captain America.

I expect Couture to have his hand raised at the end of the fight. I’m just not sure what it proves. It’s 2010 not 1995.

Prediction: Couture TKO Round 2

-Nate Marquardt (29-8-2) vs. Chael Sonnen (23-10-1)

The Fighters: Marquardt is the best well rounded Middleweight this side of Anderson Silva. He is a solid wrestler, with good submission skills who strings together combos like MMA is a video-game. Since his loss to Anderson Silva over two years ago he’s improved leaps and bounds. He’s 8-2 in the UFC and is currently riding a three fight win streak.

Sonnen dropped from 205 to 185 and it totally rejuvenated his career. He’s won 4 of his last 5 fights with his only loss being to top contender Damien Maia. Sonnen is a wrestler who fights a lot like Randy Couture. He looks to close distance and bully you to the ground. If he has his way every fight would look like his fight against Yushin Okami.

Breakdown: In this fight Nate will have a significant advantage while standing and if Sonnen can’t get it to the ground quickly it’ll be lights out for him. Sonnen does a good job of implying his will agaisnt the cage but even if does get Marquardt down he still will find himself in trouble. Sonnen has been prone to being submitted in his career; Philo, Sobral, Horn just to name a few. Marquardt has been training and wrestling with G.S.P and something tells me that makes you 75% better by osmosis. Taking Nate down won’t be an easy task.

The winner of the fight gets Anderson Silva and Sonnen has been talking a lot of crap (half of which doesn’t make any sense.) If I were him I wouldn’t try hyping an Anderson Silva fight when Nate The Great is standing directly in his way.

Prediction: Marquardt K.O. Round 2

-Demian Maia (11-1) vs. Dan Miller (11-2)

The Fighters: Maia came into the UFC and proved that jiu-jitsu alone could still consistently win fights. An impressive task that we haven’t seen in the modern age of MMA. Maia submitted his first 5 UFC opponents before being crushed by Nate Marquardt.

New Jersey native and Ring Of Combat vet Dan Miller has also had an impressive UFC run. He’s 3-1 in the UFC and coming off his first UFC loss (to the aforementioned Sonnen.) Miller is an adequate striker but relies on a combination of wrestling and jiu-jitsu to smother his opponents.

Breakdown: Maia is a pretty terrible match-up for anyone in the middleweight division and Miller plays right into his strengths. Miller will have an advantage on the fight but he isn’t a prolific striker like Marquardt is. Miller can reverse wrestle to try to keep this standing but I can’t imagine it will for all three rounds. Maia is one of the few fighters who can pull guard effectively and has an unreal knack for making good jiu-jitsu guys look bad.

Prediction: Maia Arm-Bar Round 3

-Matt Serra (9-6) vs. Frank Trigg (19-7)

The Fighters
: The charismatic Serra has done a very good job of keeping himself relevant. After all he’s 6-6 in the UFC yet still somehow remains incredibly popular. Serra’s frame, 5′6, isn’t the most conducive to welter-weight but the former light weight fighter simply can’t make 155 pounds anymore. Serra has great jiu-jitsu but he never seems to use it offensively in MMA. Believe it or not only 1 of his UFC wins was by submission. Serra’s wrestling is underrated as is his K.O power.

Frank Trigg rejuvenated himself at middleweight outside of the UFC. His return to the UFC hasn’t gone as planned. He was K.O’d by Josh Koscheck, who is basically a younger version of Trigg in his prime. Trigg looked more then a step slow in that fight.

Breakdown: Trigg will have a size and reach advantage but that might be where the list ends. While many think Trigg will be able to grind his way to a ground and pound win Serra surprised with his wrestling acumen in the Hughes fight. He even reversed the vaunted wrestler at one point. Trigg is not Matt Hughes. While standing Serra should have a significant advantage and has K.O power that Trigg doesn’t.

I love Trigg but this might be the end of the line for Twinkle-Toes.

Prediction: Serra K.O. Round 3

-Paulo Thiago (12-1) vs. Mike Swick (14-3)

The Fighters: Paulo Thiago is apparently the most bad-ass man in Brazil. And he definitely looks like a dude you wouldn’t want to cross. Thiago burst onto the scene with a quick K.O victory over Josh Koscheck. He’s 2-1 in the UFC, with the only loss being to Jon Fitch. Thiago has K.O power and great jiu-jitsu skills he has yet to display in the UFC.

Mike “Quick” Swick is a veteran of Season 1 of the Ultimate Fighter. Swick was in the process of cementing himself as a middleweight contender before running into Yushin Okami. In the Okami fight Swick was out-muscled and bullied around. The loss made him drop to 170 pounds where again he was on the verge of a title shot before losing to Dan Hardy. Swick is 9-2 in the UFC, 5-1 at Middleweight and 4-1 at Welterweight. Swick is known for his lighting fast and accurate hands, he truly earned his nickname quick. As his MMA game has evolved he’s become a very sound wrestler. Training with ‘Kos and Jon Fitch everyday probably had a lot to do with that.

Breakdown: Swick likes to flurry and throw punches in bunches. However in his last fight against Dan Hardy we didn’t see the same Mike Swick. He seemed a step slow and hesitant. Whether or not he was still feeling the effects of his concussion at the time remain to be seen. If Swick is hesitant he’s going be rocked by Thiago’s power punches.

Thiago will look to stand and trade with Swick as long as he feels comfortable. If he gets in trouble he will try to work his ground game and while he has a BJJ advantage getting Swick to the ground is easier said then done.

Of all the fights on the card this is the toughest to call.

Prediction: Thiago Via Unanimous Decision

MMA

Another New GSP Affliction Shirt!

Jesus, how many of these can Affliction put out in a six month span? This is the THIRD new Georges St. Pierre shirt since Affliction stopped promoting MMA events.

That doesn’t make this one any less cool though.

I love the color combination of the red and the black. As usual, they find a way to get the Fleur de lis on the French Canadian’s shirts.

It’s available at MMA Warehouse for 57.99

Looking for more GSP gear? It’s in The 3rd String Store.

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