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NCAAF

College Football Week Five Picks

Last Week: 16-7

Season: 71-18

#3 Alabama over Kentucky- This is the last of the “easy ones” for the Crimson Tide. After Kentucky, they play Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, and LSU. The bye comes after Tennessee. How good is ‘bama? We’re about to find out.

#4 LSU over #18 Georgia

#5 Boise State over U.C Davis

#6 Va.Tech over Duke- Not that beating Duke is a challenge, but I think Va Tech has rediscovered it’s identity after being kicked in the you-know-whats after Darren Evans went down. The key: Don’t let Tyrod Taylor throw.

#9 Ohio State over Indiana- Indiana gave Michigan a scare last weekend. This game won’t be that scary for Bucs fans.

#10 Cinncinatti over Miami (OH)- How high can the Bearcats climb? I mean the strength of schedule argument has to kick in at some point right?. Miami of Ohio doesn’t help that argument.

#11 TCU over Southern Methodist

#12 Houston over UTEP- Biggest surprise of ’09 is not Miami. It’s Houston.

#13 Iowa over Arkansas State- Don’t look now. Iowa may be the class of the Big Ten

#15 Penn State over Illinois- I still don’t know a thing about Penn State. But I do know that Illinois is terrible.

#16 Oregon over Washington State- If Washington State wins, will the Legarrette Blount reinstatement rumors vanish?

#21 Ole Miss over Vanderbilt – Ole Miss has to rebound from that bad Thursday night loss to South Carolina.

#25 Georgia Tech over Mississippi State

Notre Dame over Washington- Clausen appears to be healthier then he was last week. ND will eek out another close one.

Two to Change Plans For

#7 USC over #24 California- All the pressure is on USC if Cal beats Oregon last week. They didn’t and now the roles are reversed. Cal cannot afford to loose this game. USC knows this and will use it to their advantage…. And so goes the biggest “fall from grace” story in 2009. Looks like another year looking up at USC for Cal.

#8 Oklahoma over #17 Miami- Oklahoma need this game more than Miami does. A second loss hurts more in the Big 12 than it does in the weaker A.C.C. Desperation gets the win in this one.

Upset of The Week


Michigan State over #22 Michigan
- I know what you’re thinking. “There goes Jordan’s anti-Michigan bias again.” I swear it’s not that. This is Michigan’s first road game of the year, in a hostel environment to boot. I expect Tate the Great to struggle a bit early and Michigan to fall just short.

NCAAF

Legarrette Blount Could be Reinstated

From ESPN:

Oregon coach Chip Kelly will address LeGarrette Blount’s status on Friday morning, the school said Thursday.

The suspended running back will have an opportunity to be reinstated to the program later this season, provided he continues to follow a plan set in place after the first game, a source told ESPN on Thursday

Isn’t it funny that this news comes a week after Oregon moves to 3-1 with a big time conference win over Cal. To me, its a little transparent. A month ago, Blount was a bigger villain then Lex Luthor and now that the Ducks are in the Pac-10 race, he’s rehabilitated?

Seems a bit phony doesn’t it?

I didn’t agree with the length of the suspension in the first place. However, if your going to dole out that kind of punishment, you have to stick to it. What kind of credibility does Chip Kelly have now? If your going to go up on a high horse, you can’t come down after a circumstance changes.

NCAAF

Week One AP Polls Analysis

The first sets of “real polls” are out.

Here’s the A.P:

1. Florida (56)

2.Texas (2)

3.USC

4.Alabama (2)

5.Oklahoma State

6. Mississippi

7. Penn State

8. Ohio State

9. Brigham Young

10. California

11.LSU

12.Boise State

13.Oklahoma

14.Virginia Tech

15.Georgia Tech

16.TCU

17.Utah

18.Notre Dame

19. North Carolina

20. Miami (FL)

21. Georgia

22. Nebraska

23. Cincinnati

24. Kansas

25.Missouri

A few thoughts:

I think it’s a fair top 25. Not too many surprises. The only issue I have with it is BYU at nine. Now, I understand why a team that gets as big a win as they did jumps up, but I refer to something that Kirk Herbstreit said on ESPN today.

When asked about how he believes polls should be voted on, Herbie said that voters should start with a blank piece of paper and write down who they believe are the 25 best teams in the nation, regardless of what the preseason polls said. Everyone knows that, for the most part, preseason polls are deceiving. With that theory in mind, do you really think that BYU is a top ten team in the nation? It was a great win over Oklahoma, but it did come by one point against a team without its two biggest offensive weapons for the majority of the game. Is BYU better than Cal? Boise State? I don’t think so. I would have put them in the top 15, but not the top 10.

Once again, Notre Dame’s position make a ton of sense. As dominant as Saturday’s win over Nevada was, it still came against Nevada. A win against Michigan this week will put them in the top 15.

Nice to see a Big East team crack the top 25. Despite being a BCS conference, the Big East did not have a team in the preseason poll. Something always seemed a bit odd to me about that.

NCAAF

College Football ‘09: California Golden Bears

For the next few weeks our very own Jordan Lauterbach will be previewing the upcoming 2009 College Football season. Each day, he will be posting a new preview so be sure to check in everyday.

Last Season: 9-4, 6-3, Beat Miami in the Champs Sports Bowl

Coaches Poll: 12

For as long as many of the California Golden Bears roster, USC has sat atop the Pac-10. Tired of playing second fiddle, the door finally looks to be at least half open in the conference. In a year where USC is looking to rebuild a dominant defense and break in a new quarterback simultaneously, Cal has one of the better shots in recent years to rise above them. Now, whether they have a chance to and whether they will finally slay the beast at the top are two separate issues.

It all starts with offensive consistency, specifically at the quarterback position. Last season, quarterback Kevin Riley completed just 50% of his passes, while throwing fourteen touchdowns and six interceptions. The 2008 season for Riley wasn’t just about numbers, it was about looking over his shoulder. After accumulating solid numbers, but unspectacular numbers in the first four games of the year, Riley was yanked.

Although he played in all but one game, Riley never put up consistent numbers. With his chief competition at quarterback significantly less than in previous years, Riley figures to get the starting job. For Cal to have a realistic shot at the top of the conference, Riley will need to become a more accurate passer.

While Riley’s receiving core is plentiful, it is widely unaccomplished. Leading the crew is Nylan Boateng. Boateng caught 29 passes for 439 yards and 5 touchdowns. Marvin Jones is also worth keeping an eye on. Jones, a sophomore, impressed the coaching staff immensely during spring practice.

But a conversation about the California offense can not be had without mentioning their biggest weapon. Running back Jahvid Best is one of the better backs in the country. He is the second leading returning rusher in the country, behind Ball State’s MiQual Lewis. Last season, Best ran for over 1500 yards and found the end zone fifteen times. With an experienced offensive line and an inexperienced passing game, Best will need to have as good a season as he did in 2008 for the Golden Bears to remain a factor at the top.

With nine starters returning to action, the Bears are stout defensively. Last season, they ranked fourth in the Pac-10 in total defense, second in scoring defense, and first in takeaways. It is reasonable to assume that this trend will continue. Defensive end Cameron Jordan leads an outstanding line. Jodan, despite playing in only situation action last year, had 11 tackles in the backfield alone. Tyson Alualu is also extremely talented.

With a linebacking core as strong as the defensive line, it will be very difficult to move the ball against California.

While the defense will again be solid, I question if the passing game will gel quick enough to compete against teams that can contain the run game. While USC is the team everyone is chasing at the top, both Oregon and Oregon State are poised for strong seasons. If the offense struggles early, The Bears could be out of the Pac-10 race by Halloween

Three Games To Watch

September 26th- @ Oregon- The first big Pac-10 test for Cal comes both early and on the road. Oregon is also extremely talented. A suspect defensive line may mean a big day for Jahvid Best.

October 3rd- USC- Coming off a big game against Oregon, this USC will be the game that determines whether Cal is a pretender or contender in the Pac-10. A win here and Cal could be in the drivers seat. A loss and the Golden Bears might be looking at a long two months.

November 7th- Oregon State- Cal is no doubt benefited by having two of their three biggest games at home. If the Bears survive Oregon and USC, Oregon State will be the final hurdle towards a Pac-10 title. A rebuilding secondary may mean big things for the passing game.

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