For many, Golf ends this weekend. Not for me, of course, but for the casual golf fan the fourth and final major is the last time they will sit down and be into golf on TV for an entire weekend. This is precisely why the PGA decided to create the FedEx Cup a few years ago. It extends the golf season. But Golf fans can be relentlessly stubborn. The FedEx cup, despite the publicity, doesn’t have the cache that a major championship does. I don’t think it ever will, at least not for a while.
So while I can’t imagine this weekend being the final one of interest on the PGA Tour, I do think that it is the final “huge” one. Say what you want, the FedEx cup does not get me half as excited as a major championship does. Will I be into it? Yes, of course. Will I be standing up for big puts and changing my life around to watch every single hole? No. Those kind of weekends are special. Those kind of weekends only come once in a blue moon…or more accurately, four times a year.
This weekend is the last of those weekends for 2009. Here are some story lines I’ll be watching for at the 2009 PGA Championship.
1. Tiger Woods- Come on, its a major championship…of course it’s about Tiger. This is the last stand for Woods in 2009. For the first time since 2004, he is in danger of not capturing a major championship. That was by far the worst season of his career. He finished in the top 10 in only one of the four majors that year. This season hasn’t been nearly as bad, but he is coming off a missed cut at The British Open. Don’t think that isn’t fresh in Tiger’s mind. Yes, wins at The Buick and The Bridgestone are nice, but they don’t mean anything if he doesn’t get this one.
He’s four wins away from Jack Nicklaus’ record of 18 majors. He’s five away from breaking it. While Tiger is the world’s best player, it’s no absolute guarantee that he will break that record. Including the period that he missed because of injury, five major championships have passed since Tiger notched number 14. As each one passes, that epic win over Rocco Mediate moves deeper and deeper into Tiger’s memory bank. With each Major without a trophy, the magic number of 18 floats farther and farther away.
While I do think that Tiger has more than enough to catch Jack, he has to get back on the road to 18 quickly. In golf, dominance doesn’t last forever. Even if your name is Tiger Woods.
After the British, I thought that Tiger may still be hurt. The trouble he had off the tee that week was incomprehensible to anyone who has watched him over an extended period of time. While he still struggled off the tee in the Buick, he found a way to beat one of the worst fields of the year. After taking a lead last week at The Bridgestone, Tiger allowed Padraig Harrington to climb back into the race with back to back bogeys on 13 and 14. While the performance was better than the one the previous weekend, he still had moments that made you scratch your head.
Is Tiger hot going into this weekend? I don’t think so. I get the sense that he is still struggling with parts of his game that got him in trouble at The British. It doesn’t really matter, either. Woods was “hot” going into all three majors this year and has nothing but two 6’s and a fat MC to show for it. Golf is such a week to week sport that being “hot” is a bit overrated.
I really don’t know what to expect from Tiger this week. But I don’t think he’ll win. I don’t think he’s all the way back yet.
But here’s something to hang your hat on if you’re a Tiger fan. His last PGA Championship win came when he was in danger of going major-less in 2007. Read into that what you will.
2. Is Padraig Harrington back?- I wrote this about David Duval before the British Open and he missed the cut. Hopefully for Padraig Harrington, he won’t suffer the same fate. The victim of a major swing change, Harrington has had one of his worst years as a pro. The two-time defending PGA Champion has made the cut in only eight of the fifteen events he has played in. Prior to last Sunday’s near miss at Bridgestone, Harrington’s highest finish was at the Arnold Palmer when he finished on the edge of the top ten (11th)
Last Sunday, Paddy’s fate changed. Not only did Harrington find himself in the final grouping with Tiger on Sunday, he was in the lead entering the day.
And he put up a good fight too.
After allowing Tiger Woods to bypass him on the leader board, Harrington took advantage of two late mistakes by Woods. A disaster of a triple bogey on 16 ended any hope of a victory, but the hope of returning back to form remained constant for Harrington.
Now, he must build on what he started on last weekend. Was The Bridgestone a stepping stone back relevance for Padraig Harrington or was it a cruelly optimistic anomaly. I tend to think it was the former. Padraig Harrington may be in the middle of an awful year, but in no way do I think he’s entered David Duval “end of the earth territory”.
Will Harrington win another PGA Championship this weekend? I don’t think so. Just like Rome wasn’t built in a day, Paddy Harrington’s game will not zap back to life like it never left. However, I do think Harrington will play well this weekend. A top ten finish is a reasonable estimation.
3. Will Kenny Perry give his Player of the Year campaign more gas?- Readers of this blog know that Kenny Perry is a personal favorite of mine. After he won the Travelers Championship in late June, I wrote that he was on my short list of Player of The Year candidates.
His 59th place finish at The John Deere and his 52nd place finish at The British Open certainly put a halt to that campaign, but the numbers still support Perry’s potential claim to that title. He is currently ranked fourth in the world and third in the FedEx cup standings. If not for a collapse down the stretch at The Masters in April, Perry might already have the title wrapped up.
After an 11th place finish last week at The Bridgestone, it is clear that he is playing better that he has in a few weeks.. A good showing this week would only give his argument more steam.
A win would end the conversation.
4. Phil Mickelson- If you’re worried about Phil because of his poor showing at The Bridgestone, don’t be. I made the same mistake after Phil had a poor showing at The St. Jude before the U.S Open.
Mickelson finished tied for 59th at The St. Jude, including a Sunday round of 75. The next week, he came within a few holes of one of the most heartwarming U.S Open victories in history.
What does this mean? It doesn’t take long for Mickelson to shake off the rust.
He’s been through so much in the last four months. No one would blame Phil if he didn’t play well this weekend. To tell you the truth, I’m still surprised that he’s playing.
But I think Phil will show up this weekend. If you want something to be confident about in regards to Mickelson, he shot a 70 and 69 in the first two rounds last weekend. So it wasn’t all bad.
I think Mickelson finishes in the top 10.
5. Will anything compare to Tom Watson’s run at The British?- In a word, no. What we all witnessed a few weeks ago was a truly special event. Golf fans can’t go into this weekend thinking that anything will match what happened at Turnberry. If you do that, I guarantee disappointment.
But remember, not every tournament has to be legendary to be enjoyable, or even memorable. Those special events only come around once in a blue moon.
Few moments will equal that of Jack Nicklaus winning the Masters in ’86. Few memories will be as special as the ones you’ll have of Tom Watson in July of 2009. I remember thinking “wow, there is going to be a book written about what I’m watching one day”.
You don’t get that with any old major championship.
So when you’re watching this weekend, don’t compare it to The British. It’s unfair. Nothing will compare for a long long time…
….Unless, of course, Nicklaus decides to play and wins or Sam Sneed’s ghost shoots a 59…..
The Pick: Steve Stricker
Is it out of the box? Maybe. Does it make a ton of sense? Yes.
Besides Tiger Woods, Steve Stricker has had the best year of any player on tour. He’s won twice, finished in the top three 4 times, and finished in the top 10 eight times. Stricker is second to Tiger Woods on the FedEx Cup points list and in scoring average. He is also ranked second in the world.
Stricker’s most recent win came at The John Deere Classic.
Prior to the British Open, Stewart Cink was known as the best player on tour to never win a major. That title now belongs to Stricker.
Not for long, though.