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MMA

Kimbo v. Strikeforce?

The new rumor making the rounds is that the previously announced Kimbo Slice-Matt Mitrione fight that was pulled off the UFC 113 will headline the UFC’s event on April 17th. This would serve to hurt the ratings of Strikeforce’s CBS card. According to Brent Brookhouse:

With the announcement of the UFC holding an event on April 17 and now news that the rumored Mike Swick vs. Matt Serra fight is off due to Mike Swick’s injury there has been much speculation on what fights will run on the event.

Despite rumors from Carmichael Dave on The Underground that James Toney would make his MMA debut against Kimbo Slice on the event, I have heard from a solid source that the most likely option right now is to move the scheduled Kimbo Slice / Matt Mitrione fight from UFC 113 up a few weeks to the Spike TV card.

Outside of putting Brock Lesnar on free TV, which will NEVER EVER happen, Slice is probably the biggest ratings draw that the UFC carries right now. People from all walks of life will tune in to see the internet brawler take on the former NFL player and completely forget that the Strikeforce card is on.

The CBS card will outdraw the UFC purely by the fact that it is on CBS, but the if the UFC can do a decent number, they are taking eyes away from Strikeforce.

What will we do? Probably watch the UFC, and make sure to switch over for the only good fight on the Strikeforce card: Gilbert Melendez killing Shinya Aoki’s stupid pants.

MMA

The Ultimate Fighter 10 Finale: Main Card Predictions

Marcus Jones v. Matt Mitrione

Jones was the most surprising fighter on The Ultimate Fighter this year. At the beginning, people wondered if he was anything more than a big athletic guy who would smother people. Instead, he showed pretty decent take downs, and some great jiu-jitsu for a guy his size. While he is an older fighter, and thus has a short time to make an impact, he is probably the third best fighter this season, and will get some pretty decent fights right away.

Mitrione really doesn’t do much well. He’s got heavy hands, and we saw that plenty of times throughout the show. However, he lacks any kind of ground game, and when he does get taken down by Jones, he won’t be getting back up.

Prediction: Jones via submission

Frankie Edgar v. Matt Veach

Edgar is a top-five lightweight who is getting the shaft by even taking this fight. He was supposed to fight Kurt Pellegrino who would have actually been a decent fight, but when “Batman” got hurt, Veach jumped in. Edgar is a fantastic wrestler, with improving striking, and one of the best athletes in the division.

Veach is a relative unknown. He’s a wrestler from Matt Hughes’ HIT Squad camp, which means that I’m sure that he is boring and annoying. He defeated Matt Grice via TKO, so he does have some power. The question is will Edgar overlook a guy who only has one UFC fight?

Nope.

Prediction: Edgar via Unanimous Decision

Kimbo Slice v. Houston Alexander

Slice is the youtube sensation that is going to drive a lot of non-MMA fans to watch this card. He’s got heavy hands, but as we saw on the show, he isn’t an MMA fighter. He’s a brawler. When Roy Nelson put him in a crucifix on the show, he didn’t have any idea how to get out. He didn’t move his hips once. It was sad.

The question coming into this fight is what Kimbo is going to be as a fighter. He never trained full-time before TUF 10, and now he trains twice a day with American Top Team, one of the best teams in the country. He has said that the guys there spend a ton of time working on wrestling and BJJ with him, but his bread and butter will remain his hands.

The good news for Kimbo Slice is that he is fighting another guy who has no ground game in Houston Alexander. Alexander made his name by knocking out Keith Jardine and Alessio Sakara before losing three in a row and being bounced from the UFC. Now, he’s back as a handpicked opponent for Slice. He has good power, but not a whole lot of anything else.

The first guy to land a big punch will win this fight.

Prediction: Alexander via TKO

Roy Nelson v. Brandon Schaub

Nelson was the favorite coming into TUF because he has a resume that is just light years beyond what everyone else had. The problem with Roy is two-fold. He’s never in shape, as seen with his huge belly that he’s used as a weapon in the fights on TUF. The other is that he just isn’t an exciting fighter. He has boring fights that make Dana White and the fans crazy.

Another thing about him is this: When you look at his record, every time he fights a quality opponent he loses. Look at it: Jeff Monson, Andrei Arlovski, and Ben Rothwell are great examples.

Schaub is an athletic former NFL fullback who trains at Greg Jackson’s camp in New Mexico. That’s a huge advantage right there. He has all the tools that you need to win fights. His gameplan in this one will be to keep it on the feet, but if it goes to the ground, he has the skills to get back to his feet.

I like Schaub to keep it standing.

Prediction: Schaub via TKO

Matt Hammil v. Jon Jones

Hamill is a TUF 3 alumni who is famous for overcoming the fact that he is deaf. He became Tito Ortiz’s protege on the show but had to pull out due to injury. Since he’s taken the UFC by storm, going 6-2. One of those losses was to Michael Bisping when Hamill dominated the fight, but Bisping got the hometown decision because they were in England. His bread and butter is his wrestling, but he showed good power and even a head kick that knocked out Mark Munoz.

As for Jones, Man Crush. I love me some Jon Jones. Jones is an incredibly athletic light heavyweight that comes from a family where his two brothers are NFL-quality defensive linemen. He uses good muay thai, and has some of the best greco-roman wrestling this side of Dan Henderson. He’s undefeated in the UFC with wins over Stephen Bonnar and Jake O’Brien to his credit.

The big change for Jones between this fight and last fight is the team he trains with. He went from relatively unknown team Bomb Squad, to training with the best team in MMA at Greg Jackson’s. He’s got some great guys to train with, but really what I’m looking forward to is Jones closing the holes in his game. Jones is famous for fighting with Urijah Faber like reckless abandon, throwing spinning elbows and other kinds of crazy stuff. We all saw how that worked out for Urijah Faber. Now, in all Jones in his interviews he’s talking about becoming more conventional. That’s music to my ears.

Jones is just too good of a fighter for Hamill, and is just scratching the surface. Scary.

Prediction: Jones via unanimous decision

MMA

UFC 105: Undercard Predictions

Andre Winner v. Rolando Delgado

Wasn’t Delgado going by Roli until like three days ago? If you don’t remember him, he was the guy on the Mir v. Nog season of The Ultimate Fighter whom was constantly questioned about his BJJ black belt. He’s 1-1 since joining the UFC and seems to be one of these guys who they like putting on cards overseas. His last fight was a loss to Paul Kelly in Germany. He features great BJJ, and improving standup. My biggest question about him is his strength and chin, as he has a really slight frame.

Winner was the runner up of the US v. UK TUF season. He’s 0-1 in the UFC, as he lost to Ross Pearson at the Finale. I’m curious to see more of winner. His record indicates a strong submission background, as he’s got three submission victories. My only concern about him is a lack of ability to finish, as he has a ton of decision victories.

While Delgado is a nice fighter, I think Winner has a better all-around game, and more potential.

Prediction: Winner via Decision

Alexander Gustaffson v. Jared Hamman

Gustaffson is making his UFC debut out of Stockholm, Sweeden. He is a wrestler/boxer with an 8-0 record. Six of those wins have come by knockout, indicating that he has some pretty sick power. Besides, that I have to admit that I don’t know much about the Sweedish MMA scene, and none of his opponents are exactly names.

Hamman is also making his UFC debut but is American. His best win was a KO victory over Travis Wiuff in 2007. He’s a Strikeforce veteran, meaning he has a bunch more “big fight” experience than the swede. He’s 10-1, and avenged his only loss to Poai Suganuma. The first fight ended with Hamman being knocked out with a flying knee, in the second fight, he knocked Suganuma out with punches.

When in doubt, take the veteran.

Prediction: Hamman via TKO

Paul Kelly v. Dennis Siver

What’s an England card without Paul Kelly? The British brawler is 3-1 in the UFC with his only loss is against Marcus Davis, and it’s never a bad thing to lose to The Irish Hand Grenade. Kelly wants to keep every fight on the feet, but has been grinding out some decisions. He’s the hometown favorite, that’s for sure.

His opponent is Dennis Siver, who is 3-3 in the UFC, and another European staple for the company. He’s famous for his spinning back kick KO of Nate Mohr at UFC 93. He’s 2-0 his coming back from the nether regions of the MMA universe. He’s got a pretty good ground game to go with top notch kickboxing.

I’ll take the German to upset the British favorite.

Prediction: Siver via submission

Nick Osipczak v. Matt Riddle

Osipczak is another fighter off the TUF 9 cast. He beat American Frank Lester at the finale, and likely earned himself another fight with the victory. He’ll be the hometown favorite against the American as usual. He’s a practicioner of Shaolin-Kung Fu. Let’s make something clear: He’s not GSP, who has combined his Karate with other skills to make himself a more dangerous fighter. He’s just a Shaolin kung-fu guy. Not good.

Riddle on the other hand has as much potential as any fighter in the UFC. He debuted as the guy who lost to Tim Credeur on TUF 8 with terrible coach Rampage Jackson. Riddle got on the show by breaking the jaw of Serra Fight Team fighter Dan Simmler, but lost his first fight. He was 21 at the time.

Since then, Riddle has become a scalding hot prospect. He has great wrestling, and th ekind of knockout power that few people posses. IF he reaches his ceiling, He could easily follow the Dan Henderson archetype to success. Riddle is looking to make it four in a row in Britain, and I think that he will.

Prediction: Riddle via KO

Terry Etim v. Shannon Gugerty

Etim is 4-2 in the UFC, with wins over Sam Stout and Justin Buchholz on his record. Etim is another British favorite. He’s got an all-around game including some pretty good Muay Thai, and a really ground game. He has nine submission victories to his credit, and two submission of the night awards as well.

Gugerty is 2-1 in the UFC against some pretty mediocre competition. His best win is against Spencer Fisher, who’s ground game looks like a fish out of water. He has a great submission background as well, with eight of his 12 career victories coming by submission.

If the ground games cancel each other out, I like Etim’s muay thai to win the standup war.

Prediction: Etim via TKO

Paul Taylor v. John Hathaway

Taylor is 3-3 in the UFC and is most noted for his war with Paul Kelly at UFC 80. He has three fight of the night awards under his belt, and even if he doesn’t win, he’ll have a place in the UFC because he garners exciting fights with an aggressive style. While he has some submission wins, he most known for his standup ability with five career KO victories.

Hathaway is also British, making this the only fight on the card that features Brit on Brit violence. Hathaway is 2-0 in the UFC, with two european victories to his credit. Also a standup fighter, expect a ton of action in this fight, and eitheir fighter could score a clean shot and a KO.

Prediction: Hathaway via TKO

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