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NCAAF

Bowl Mania Day 6

Record 3-3

Worn out from the holidays? A little too much family in your house during the last two days? Well, like it always seems to do (for me anyway), sports have come to rescue you from the holiday whiplash. More specifically, college football. Because what clears the head of an overworked and under slept football fan more than a college bowl triple header?

Nothing.

Little Caesars Bowl- Marshall vs Ohio- Ok, so the day starts off slow, but what do you expect- it is only December 26th. This one is a major offensive mismatch. Ohio outscored Marshall by almost eighty points this season. Quarterback Theo Scott threw for over 2000 yards and 19 touchdowns this season. They have a two headed receiving attack with a now-healthy Lavon Brazil and Taylor Price. Brazil is a dynamic return man. He averages over fifteen yards per punt and led the nation in punt return touchdowns with three. Ohio won nine games this year and kept things close with a good Central Michigan team in the Conference-USA championship game.

Marshall doesn’t have a ton to look forward to. They are a team working with an interim coach who, insiders say, is not expected to keep the job after the bowl. Interim coaches in bowl games can go one of two ways. One, the team can play inspired football to stick it to the past coach who left or lobby for the interim coach to get the full time gig (Bill Stewart anyone?) Two, the team can lay down and die because what’s the point? This situation reeks of scenario number two.

The only saving grace for Marshall may be running back Darius Marshall. Marshall (the man) ran for over 1000 yards this season and found the end zone 11 times. With Ohio giving up over 150 yards per game on the ground if Marshall (the school) can ever get him going, this one may carry some interest into the fourth quarter.

But even if Darius Marshall makes an impact, I can’t see the Thundering Herd stopping the Ohio offense.

The Pick: Ohio

Meineke Car Care Bowl- #17 Pittsburgh v. North Carolina- In a way, Pittsburgh is avenging two bad losses in this one. First, one of the worst losses you will ever see in the final game of the year against Cincinnati. After being absolutely dominant all day in what amounted to the Big East championship game, Pittsburgh collapsed in the fourth quarter and lost by a point.

Think about that feeling.

21 point lead entering the fourth quarter. You can smell a BCS bowl and a team with a coach who has practically run for another head coaching position that week snatches it away on your home turf. The bleepin Bearcats are going to a BCS bowl and you’re not. And for the second consecutive year, to boot. Ouch

Second, returning Pitt players surely haven’t forgotten the Brut Sun Bowl last year. The Panther defense played almost as good as a football team can and a measly second quarter Oregon State field goal is the difference in the game. That had to sting.

The Sun Bowl didn’t make quarterback Bill Stull a lot of friends, either. Coming into 2009, their were a lot of questions about whether an offense without Lesean McCoy could survive. I, myself, didn’t see the Panthers as a team who would have a shot at the Big East title in the final game of the year. But as hard as this is to believe, the Pitt offense may be better this season.

Bill Stull emerged as a competent quarterback, throwing twenty one touchdown passes and over 2400 yards. Freshman Dion Lewis has been fantastic. LeSean McCoy who? Lewis ran for over 1000 yards and 16 touchdowns. He is the kind of back who can flat out take games over.

The Pitt offense scored over thirty points six times this year and under 20 twice. But they may have found their match. UNC has an excellent defense. They allow under 17 points a game a flirted with allowing under 200 points this season. However, I think they can be had. They allowed 30 points in a loss to Florida State. Pittsburgh’s offense is better then Florida State. They allowed 24 points to Miami. I know people love Jacory Harris, but Pitt’s offense is on par with Miami’s.

I think Pitt will be able to hold down a UNC offense that they outscored by over 100 this season and win a low scoring affair.

The Pick: Pittsburgh

Emerald Bowl- Boston College vs #24 USC- USC isn’t used to this. Frankly, neither am I. Writing about USC before the first of the year just seams wrong. I predicted a down year. But isn’t a down year for USC nowadays like a BCS at-large bid or something? I mean, the Emerald Bowl? Really?

That being said, I still think this is a quick down swing. Even in a getting-better Pac-10, I like USC to be a top five team all next season. But it brings up an interesting question. Even though it’s a young team, how pumped up can the USC Trojans get to play Boston College on Boxing Day? Don’t think the pump up factor is a big one? Think about how many teams have been screwed out of a national championship bid and lost their bowl game? It almost happened to Texas last year. Think about teams that lost BCS bids this year in excruciating fashion and then got trounced in their bowl game.

Looking at you, Oregon State.

So what will that get us tonight? I think a close game is in the cards, but I just can’t pick Boston College to beat anyone good. They finished 8-4, sure. But that was 8-4 in the A.C.C.

The A.C.C was the worst of the BCS conferences this year. I will fight anyone on that.

Anyone.

B.C’s most impressive wins came against FSU and Central Michigan. Clemson beat them by three scores. Virginia Tech beat them by thirty four. UNC scored 31 points on them. Enough said. USC’s lack of interest keeps the game watch-able, but the Trojans prevail.


The Pick: USC

NCAAF

Week Six Picks!

Last Week: 15-2

Season: 86-20

#2 Texas over Colorado

#5 Va Tech over Boston College

#9 Ohio State over Wisconsin

#10 TCU over Air Force

#11 Miami over Florida A&M

#13 Oregon over UCLA

#14 Penn State over Eastern Illinois

#15 Oklahoma State over Texas A&M

#16 Kansas over Iowa State

#17 Auburn over Arkansas

#18 BYU over UNLV

#19 Oklahoma over Baylor

#22 Georgia Tech over Florida State

#25 South Carolina over Kentucky

2 to Change Plans For

#1 Florida over #5 LSU

#12 Iowa over Michigan

Upset of The Week

#20 Mississippi over # 3 Alabama

NCAAF

College Football ‘09: Florida State Seminoles

For the next few weeks our very own Jordan Lauterbach will be previewing the upcoming 2009 College Football season. Each day, he will be posting a new preview so be sure to check in everyday.

Last Season: 9-4, 5-3, beat Wisconsin in the Champs Sports Bowl

AP Poll: 18

Coaches Poll: 19

Although the Florida State Seminoles may be on probation from the NCAA, don’t expect the program to roll over and enter the dark abyss of irrelevance. Head coach Bobby Bowden won’t let that happen. So while times for Florida State may be a bit harder these days, the culture of winning refuses to change. It is that gritty determination that has led Bowden to over 300 career victories.

The grit that defines Florida State was on full display last year. Despite loosing early in the year to Wake Forrest, the Seminoles found themselves in contention for an A.C.C into early November. Although those hopes died with a mid-November loss to Boston College, there is plenty of optimism in Tallahassee.

That optimism rests on the shoulders of quarterback Christian Ponder. As a sophomore, Ponder threw for over 2000 yards and 14 touchdowns. However, he will have to improve on his decision making and efficiency. Ponder finished sixth in the conference with a completion percentage that hovered a little over 55%. This number would not be awful if he had made better decisions with the football. But he didn’t. He threw 13 interceptions to go along with his fourteen touchdown passes. This number will no doubt need to go down if the Seminoles are to improve on a four loss 2008.

Ponder should have the time to make better decisions. Florida State returns an offensive line that is both strong and young. Not one of the big guys on the offensive line is a senior. While that doesn’t really affect the outlook this year, it further points out the depth that Florida State has on the line going forward.

The biggest hindrance to Ponder having a break out year may be the receiving core. Leading returning receiver Taiwan Easterling missed spring practice with a ruptured Achilles. Easterling caught 30 passes last season for 322 yards and only one touchdown. While he is reportedly good to go for the season opener, one can’t help but wonder if the injury will have any ill-effects early in the year.

Receiver Rod Owens has off the field issues after being suspended indefinitely because of a DUI charge earlier in the season. He is expected to only miss a game or two, but it’s still a bit of a question mark. Owens caught fifteen passes for 183 yards last season. Also look for Richard Goodman to return after missing 2008. Goodman, a senior, had twenty catches in 2007.

Combined with a quarterback that needs to improve and a shaky receiving core, the passing game will be something to watch closely in the first couple of games.

A running game that struggled last year will have to replace its leading man, Antone Smith. Last year, Smith averaged just over sixty yards a game last year. But loosing Smith may not necessarily be a bad thing. The young combo of Jermaine Thomas and Carlton Jones has excellent potential. Thomas ran for 482 yards on 69 carries last season, averaging seven yards per carry. Jones has explosive ability. While carrying the ball only four times in the bowl game, Jones gained 55 yards on four carries. A thunder and lightning type of attack can easily be seen with these two talents.

But the biggest job this season will be rebuilding a defense that ranked third in the ACC in total defense and fifth in scoring defense last season. Only three starters return from this shutdown group. Defensive coordinator Mickey Andrews is expecting a lot out of Kendrick Stewart, Jamie Robinson, and Patrick Robinson.

The losses of Everette Brown and Myron Rolle hurt this defense big time. Brown will be replaced by Markus White. White had 5.5 tackles for losses last season. As a former junior college player of the year recipient, White has the reputation, but needs to show that he can do it at a higher level.

The linebacking core will miss its two top tacklers. This means that they will be relying on Dekoda Washington.

The Seminoles are benefitted by the division they play in. Not one other A.C.C Atlantic team is ranked in the coach’s poll or the A.P top 25. Despite question marks on both sides of the ball, Florida State is still the class of the Atlantic. Once they get to the A.C.C championship game in November, they are probably toast, but a manageable schedule won’t keep them from at least playing for the title.

3 Games To Watch

September 7th- Miami (FL)- An inter-state rivalry to close out week one. Bobby Bowden used to talk about how much he hated this type of game to open the year. But even he can’t deny the major statement it would make. Miami is a program on the rise again and a win against them may look better on the bowl resume then it may have in years past.

October 31st- N.C State- Widely regarded as the Seminoles top competition in the A.C.C Coastal division, the Wolfpack boast one of the best quarterbacks in the country in Russell Wilson. He may be tough to contain if the defense doesn’t rebuild as smoothly as planned.

November 28th- @ Florida- This is an interesting game. It may not mean a thing for Florida State if the A.C.C Coastal is already clinched. But if it’s not completely, the Seminoles will be in the forever unenviable position of needing to beat the Gators. In November. On the road. OUCH!

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